Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Laursen N.

AI Match Summary

Jong Heracles in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jong Heracles
20%
Draws
51%
Jong FC Emmen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Heracles lately — more wins on the board than Jong FC Emmen.
  • Win probability leans Jong FC Emmen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong FC Emmen
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.78 2
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2022 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
1:0
Oct 18, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen
1:0
Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
1:3
Apr 29, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen
0:1
Dec 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Laursen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 24 / 100
Jong FC Emmen 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong FC Emmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong FC Emmen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heracles found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Jong FC Emmen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Jong Heracles has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong FC Emmen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
Page 1 of 6

Jong FC Emmen

(Away)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
07 Dec
Jong Almere City
2 : 2
Jong FC Emmen
01 Nov
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)