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Jong Heracles vs Jong Vitesse

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Konings J.
30' Event
Szoke A.
36' Event
Szoke A.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Heracles and Jong Vitesse finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jong Heracles
20%
Draws
51%
Jong Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jong Vitesse a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong Vitesse
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.77 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Vitesse
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Szoke A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Konings J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Jong Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 10 / 100
Jong Vitesse 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Vitesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heracles scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Jong Vitesse let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Jong Heracles went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong Vitesse
1.13 Goals Scored 1.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.2
25% Over 1.5 20%
25% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
Page 1 of 6

Jong Vitesse

(Away)
12 Nov
Jong Vitesse
7 : 0
Den Haag U21
09 Mar
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong Vitesse
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong Cambuur
3 : 1
Jong Vitesse
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)