Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Heracles vs Jong Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Cijntje J.

AI Match Summary

Jong Heracles in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jong Heracles
15%
Draws
51%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Heracles lately — more wins on the board than Jong Waalwijk.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jong Waalwijk taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jong Heracles here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.83 2.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Waalwijk
1:0
Feb 25, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Heracles
1:3
Apr 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Heracles
1:2
Sep 12, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Waalwijk
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Cijntje J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Jong Waalwijk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.24
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 28 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Waalwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Jong Heracles's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Jong Waalwijk let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Jong Waalwijk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong Waalwijk
0.63 Goals Scored 0.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
Page 1 of 5

Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
Page 1 of 5