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Jong Heracles vs Umm-Salal

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Club Friendly 2024
Jong Heracles Logo

Jong Heracles

Sat, Jul 27, 2024
VS
12:30 PM
Umm-Salal Logo

Umm-Salal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jong Heracles host Umm-Salal in the Club Friendly 2024. Jong Heracles are expected to control this from the start. Jong Heracles have averaged 1.83 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Umm-Salal's 1.79 scored and 2.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Jong Heracles slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Jong Heracles to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jong Heracles
20%
Draws
40%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Heracles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Jong Heracles taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Umm-Salal
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.79
Goals Conceded 1 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Jong Heracles vs Umm-Salal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 67 / 100
Umm-Salal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Umm-Salal conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Jong Heracles found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (24 games).

Umm-Salal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Umm-Salal
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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Umm-Salal

(Away)
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
08 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Umm-Salal
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
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