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Jong Maastricht vs Jong Waalwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League De Geusselt, Maastricht
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Stokkers F.

AI Match Summary

Jong Waalwijk in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Waalwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jong Maastricht
15%
Draws
85%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Waalwijk lately — more wins on the board than Jong Maastricht.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Jong Waalwijk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jong Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Maastricht Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 6 23
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0.33 2.04
Goals Conceded 4.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Maastricht vs Jong Waalwijk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Maastricht Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Jong Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokkers F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Maastricht 10 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Maastricht Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Waalwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Waalwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Away concern: Jong Waalwijk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jong Maastricht found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (6 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jong Maastricht VS Jong Waalwijk
0.29 Goals Scored 0.88
3.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Maastricht

(Home)
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
Page 1 of 2

Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)