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Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heerenveen

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 14, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong NAC Breda host Jong Heerenveen in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Jong Heerenveen have shipped 1.92 goals a game lately, while Jong NAC Breda have conceded 0.88 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Jong NAC Breda have won 0 to Jong Heerenveen's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.53 vs 0.54, favoring Jong Heerenveen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jong NAC Breda
30%
Draws
41%
Jong Heerenveen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Jong NAC Breda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jong NAC Breda are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jong Heerenveen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong NAC Breda Jong Heerenveen
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2 2.16
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2020 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heerenveen
0:0
Apr 15, 2019 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heerenveen
0:1
Mar 12, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong NAC Breda
1:0
Oct 30, 2017 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heerenveen
0:3
Feb 21, 2017 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Heerenveen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong NAC Breda 49 / 100
Jong Heerenveen 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong NAC Breda Jong Heerenveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong NAC Breda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong NAC Breda scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Heerenveen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

Jong NAC Breda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jong NAC Breda VS Jong Heerenveen
0.43 Goals Scored 0.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
29% Over 1.5 25%
14% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong NAC Breda

(Home)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
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Jong Heerenveen

(Away)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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