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Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Osman M.
25' Event
Kalentjev L.
30' Event
Szoke A.

AI Match Summary

Jong Heracles in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong Nijmegen
20%
Draws
29%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles have won more games recently than Jong Nijmegen.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jong Nijmegen taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jong Heracles have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Nijmegen Jong Heracles
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.32 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.72 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Heracles
2:5
Apr 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Heracles
1:3
Oct 22, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Heracles
0:2
Mar 13, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Nijmegen
1:0
Oct 30, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Heracles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalentjev L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beekman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Szoke A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
Jong Heracles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Nijmegen Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Nijmegen's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Jong Heracles has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Jong Nijmegen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Nijmegen VS Jong Heracles
2.71 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 13%
57% Over 2.5 13%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Nijmegen

(Home)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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