Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Zuijderwijk R.
21' Event
Beekman T.
39' Event
Gladon P.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Nijmegen and Jong Willem II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Willem II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jong Nijmegen
15%
Draws
26%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Willem II haven't matched Jong Nijmegen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jong Nijmegen a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Nijmegen Jong Willem II
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Willem II
2:3
Oct 7, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Willem II
2:3
Mar 18, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Willem II
0:0
Apr 24, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Willem II
1:0
Sep 26, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Nijmegen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Beekman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sellouf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Jong Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuijderwijk R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gladon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
Jong Willem II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Nijmegen Jong Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Nijmegen scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Jong Willem II conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Jong Nijmegen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Nijmegen VS Jong Willem II
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Nijmegen

(Home)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
Page 1 of 6

Jong Willem II

(Away)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 5