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Jong PSV W vs PSV W

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women 2024/2025 De Herdgang, Eindhoven
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Match Events

12' Event
Xhemaili R.
Assist: Frijns E.
13' Event
Kalma F.
Assist: Buurman V.
16' Event
Nijstad N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with PSV W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong PSV W
15%
Draws
46%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSV W come out ahead of Jong PSV W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans PSV W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • PSV W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PSV W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jong PSV W Clean Sheet 15%
PSV W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV W PSV W
Matches Played 4 33
Wins 2 25
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
Jong PSV W vs PSV W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong PSV W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalma F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Xhemaili R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV W 27 / 100
PSV W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Jong PSV W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

PSV W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Jong PSV W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS PSV W
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV W

(Home)
13 Feb
Jong PSV W
0 : 7
PSV W
16 Apr
Jong PSV W
0 : 2
Twente W
17 Mar
VV Alkmaar W
0 : 1
Jong PSV W
25 Feb
Telstar W
2 : 4
Jong PSV W

PSV W

(Away)
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
NAC Breda W 1
SV Saestum W 3
Sittard W 3
Ter Leede W 0
Ajax W 0
Twente W 2
Den Haag W 5
Telstar W 0
Heerenveen W 2
PEC Zwolle W 1
SBV Excelsior W 2
Feyenoord W 4
AZ Alkmaar W 2
Utrecht W 1
Jong PSV W 0
PSV W 7
Quarter-finals
SV Saestum W 3
Sittard W 2
Twente W 1
Den Haag W 0
Heerenveen W 0
Feyenoord W 3
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 2
Semi-finals
SV Saestum W 1
Twente W 5
Feyenoord W 0
PSV W 3
Final
Twente W 2
PSV W 1