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Jong Roda vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Mon, Mar 16, 2020
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Roda host Jong Heracles in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jong Roda have averaged 2.58 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Jong Heracles's 1.83 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Jong Roda have won 1 to Jong Heracles's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.06) back Jong Heracles to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jong Roda
30%
Draws
47%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Roda come out ahead of Jong Heracles on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Roda Jong Heracles
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.58 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Heracles
0:0
Mar 13, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Roda
0:2
Aug 15, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Heracles
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Roda 31 / 100
Jong Heracles 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Roda Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Roda scored in 92% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Heracles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 24 matches.

Jong Heracles's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jong Roda VS Jong Heracles
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
33% Over 1.5 25%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Roda

(Home)
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2
Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1
Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1
Jong Roda
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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