Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Nieuw Terbregge, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Holder Y.
Assist: Leicester R.
31' Event
Roeland L.
Assist: Holder Y.
42' Event
Guit V.
Assist: Nieuwenhuijs L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Jong Sparta Rotterdam advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
30%
Draws
33%
Groningen U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Groningen U21 come out ahead of Jong Sparta Rotterdam on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jong Sparta Rotterdam a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Groningen U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jong Sparta Rotterdam, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sparta Rotterdam Groningen U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen U21
3:2
Jun 6, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Groningen U21 vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Guit V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vianello G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Groningen U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Holder Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roeland L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sparta Rotterdam 65 / 100
Groningen U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Groningen U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sparta Rotterdam scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Groningen U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jong Sparta Rotterdam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sparta Rotterdam VS Groningen U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Home)
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 6
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
6 : 1
Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 6

Groningen U21

(Away)
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
06 Jun
Groningen U21
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Groningen U21 3
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 4