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Jong Utrecht vs Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Utrecht host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Heracles have shipped 2.32 goals a game lately, while Jong Utrecht have conceded 1.89 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, Jong Utrecht have won 0 to Heracles's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2023, ending 6:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.50) back Jong Utrecht to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Jong Utrecht
15%
Draws
59%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Utrecht come out ahead of Heracles on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Heracles here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 16%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Utrecht Heracles
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.71 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Jong Utrecht
6:1
Aug 15, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles
0:3
Sep 2, 2020 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Jong Utrecht
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Utrecht 23 / 100
Heracles 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Utrecht Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Utrecht scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Heracles let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Utrecht VS Heracles
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Utrecht

(Home)
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1
Jong Utrecht
03 Jul
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Werder Bremen II
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Jong Utrecht
20 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4
Heracles
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Jong PSV 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Maastricht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 NAC Breda 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Eindhoven FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Helmond Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Almere City 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Waalwijk 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Venlo 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
15 FC Volendam 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Roda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Jong AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)