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Jong Utrecht vs Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
van Gilst T.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Scheperman S.
37' Event
N'djoli J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Jong Utrecht and Heracles finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jong Utrecht
20%
Draws
47%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heracles come out ahead of Jong Utrecht on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Heracles here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Utrecht Heracles
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles
1:6
Feb 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Jong Utrecht
6:1
Aug 15, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles
0:3
Sep 2, 2020 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Jong Utrecht
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Menzo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Scheperman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Utrecht 30 / 100
Heracles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Utrecht Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heracles has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jong Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Utrecht VS Heracles
1.75 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Utrecht

(Home)
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)