Sport Picks
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zonneveld N.
30'
30'
Tahaui A.
Assist: Zonneveld N.
46'
46'
Sub
Iqbal Z. In: Ghaddari M.
Out: Iqbal Z.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong Utrecht and Vitesse finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitesse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong Utrecht haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vitesse here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
0:3
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
2:0
Mar 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
0:2
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Utrecht Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Vitesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Zonneveld N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tahaui A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Utrecht 30 / 100
Vitesse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Utrecht Vitesse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Utrecht's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Vitesse let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong Utrecht VS Vitesse
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Utrecht
(Home) 09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1 Jong Utrecht
03 Jul
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Werder Bremen II
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Jong Utrecht
20 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Werder Bremen II
17 Apr
Jong Utrecht
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
13 Apr
Jong Utrecht
0 : 3 Vitesse
20 Mar
Jong Utrecht
3 : 1 Dordrecht
13 Mar
Jong Utrecht
1 : 0 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 3
Vitesse
(Away) 07 Aug
Vitesse
1 : 1 Waalwijk
18 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 2 Al Jazira
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0 AEK
11 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 0 Dortmund II
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1 Roda
Page 1 of 6
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1 Vitesse
13 Apr
Jong Utrecht
0 : 3 Vitesse
20 Mar
Jong PSV
0 : 2 Vitesse
16 Mar
Roda
0 : 1 Vitesse
08 Mar
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Vitesse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
