Sport Picks
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zonneveld N.
30'
30'
Tahaui A.
Assist: Zonneveld N.
46'
46'
Sub
Iqbal Z. In: Ghaddari M.
Out: Iqbal Z.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong Utrecht and Vitesse finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong Utrecht haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Jong Utrecht's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vitesse here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
0:3
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
2:0
Mar 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
0:2
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Utrecht Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Vitesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Zonneveld N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tahaui A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Utrecht 56 / 100
Vitesse 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Utrecht Vitesse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Utrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Utrecht's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vitesse let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong Utrecht VS Vitesse
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Utrecht
(Home) 18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
17 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Vitesse
Page 1 of 3
Vitesse
(Away) 03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2 NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0 Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0 Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0 Vitesse
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0 Vitesse
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4 Vitesse
17 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Vitesse
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1 Vitesse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
