Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Venlo vs Jong NAC Breda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bohui J.
15' Event
van Hooijdonk S.
24' Event
Wright H.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Venlo and Jong NAC Breda finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Jong Venlo
20%
Draws
36%
Jong NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Venlo haven't matched Jong NAC Breda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jong Venlo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Venlo Jong NAC Breda
Matches Played 20 26
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.3 2
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong NAC Breda
3:3
Sep 30, 2019 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Venlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roemer Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Jong NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohui J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Hooijdonk S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Venlo 67 / 100
Jong NAC Breda 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Venlo Jong NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Venlo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jong NAC Breda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Jong Venlo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Venlo VS Jong NAC Breda
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Venlo

(Home)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
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Jong NAC Breda

(Away)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
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