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Jong Vitesse vs Jong Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Mon, Apr 6, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Vitesse host Jong Excelsior in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Jong Excelsior have shipped 2.15 goals a game lately, while Jong Vitesse have conceded 1.67 and scored 2.07. Head-to-head, Jong Vitesse have won 0 to Jong Excelsior's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.69) point toward Jong Excelsior. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jong Vitesse
15%
Draws
48%
Jong Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Excelsior have won more games recently than Jong Vitesse.
  • Win probability leans Jong Vitesse's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong Vitesse Clean Sheet 13%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Vitesse Jong Excelsior
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.07 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Vitesse vs Jong Excelsior
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Vitesse 66 / 100
Jong Excelsior 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Vitesse Jong Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Vitesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Excelsior has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Vitesse's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jong Vitesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jong Vitesse VS Jong Excelsior
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Vitesse

(Home)
12 Nov
Jong Vitesse
7 : 0
Den Haag U21
09 Mar
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong Vitesse
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong Cambuur
3 : 1
Jong Vitesse
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong Excelsior

(Away)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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