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Jong Vitesse vs Jong FC Twente

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Darfalou O.
86' Event
Terziqi X.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Vitesse and Jong FC Twente finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jong Vitesse
28%
Draws
22%
Jong FC Twente
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jong Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Jong Vitesse's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Jong FC Twente have produced (0.38).
  • Model gives Jong Vitesse a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%
Jong FC Twente Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Vitesse Jong FC Twente
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong Vitesse
1:0
Aug 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Vitesse vs Jong FC Twente
1:1
Jan 16, 2017 Tweede Divisie
Jong FC Twente vs Jong Vitesse
1:5
Aug 22, 2016 Tweede Divisie
Jong Vitesse vs Jong FC Twente
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Darfalou O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Jong FC Twente Compare

Top Goalscorer Terziqi X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Vitesse 49 / 100
Jong FC Twente 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Vitesse Jong FC Twente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jong FC Twente conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Jong Vitesse scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Jong Vitesse remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Vitesse VS Jong FC Twente
1.14 Goals Scored 0.38
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Vitesse

(Home)
12 Nov
Jong Vitesse
7 : 0
Den Haag U21
09 Mar
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong Vitesse
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong Cambuur
3 : 1
Jong Vitesse
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong FC Twente

(Away)
03 Aug
Hardenberg
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Groningen U211063124:1321
2Jong G.A. Eagles1055022:820
3Jong Zwolle1062225:1420
4Jong Feyenoord1053222:1818
5Jong Heerenveen1043321:2415
6Jong Heracles1042418:1214
7Jong FC Emmen1033421:1912
8Jong Cambuur1031617:2610
9Jong De Graafschap1031613:2510
10Jong Vitesse1022613:228
11Jong FC Twente100377:223
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jong NAC Breda1091021:428
2Jong Willem II1070322:1321
3Jong Waalwijk1060425:1018
4Jong Nijmegen1052323:1417
5Jong Roda1051425:1816
6Jong Venlo1050529:1415
7Jong Sittard1040619:2712
8Jong Den Bosch1032515:2711
9Jong FC Eindhoven1031616:3710
10Jong Excelsior1022614:298
11Jong Dordrecht1003713:293
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)