Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Willem II vs Jong Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Mon, Feb 10, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Willem II host Jong Waalwijk in the Reserve League 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jong Waalwijk have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Jong Willem II have conceded 1.88 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Jong Waalwijk slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.31, favoring Jong Waalwijk. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jong Willem II
40%
Draws
29%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Waalwijk come out ahead of Jong Willem II on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 18%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Willem II Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 25 22
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Waalwijk
0:0
Sep 30, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Waalwijk
2:1
Apr 29, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Waalwijk
1:1
Sep 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Willem II
3:0
Apr 10, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Waalwijk
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Willem II 32 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Willem II Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Willem II scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Jong Waalwijk conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jong Waalwijk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Willem II VS Jong Waalwijk
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Willem II

(Home)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
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