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Jonsereds vs Bergdalens IK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Andersson O.
22' Event
Olsson S.
57' Event
Agwunobi A.

AI Match Summary

Jonsereds in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jonsereds
15%
Draws
0%
Bergdalens IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jonsereds have won more games recently than Bergdalens IK.
  • Jonsereds are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 15%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Bergdalens IK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.94 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Bergdalens IK
5:1
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Jonsereds
3:3
Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Bergdalens IK
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Jonsereds
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bergdalens IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Agwunobi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 84 / 100
Bergdalens IK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Bergdalens IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonsereds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Bergdalens IK let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Bergdalens IK's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
03 Oct
Boljan
0 : 1
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
Page 1 of 7

Bergdalens IK

(Away)
19 Oct
Bergdalens IK
0 : 5
BK Astrio
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
05 Oct
Bergdalens IK
2 : 3
Frolunda
28 Sept
Onsala
8 : 2
Bergdalens IK
21 Sept
Bergdalens IK
0 : 1
Boljan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)