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Jonsereds vs Onsala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Stockman H.
52' Event
Egvik N.
76' Event
Nilsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Jonsereds and Onsala finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jonsereds
15%
Draws
48%
Onsala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Onsala haven't matched Jonsereds's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jonsereds here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 17%
Onsala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Onsala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Onsala
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Jonsereds
2:3
Sep 5, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Onsala
1:0
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Jonsereds
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Egvik N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Onsala Compare

Top Goalscorer Stockman H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 36 / 100
Onsala 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Onsala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onsala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Jonsereds found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Onsala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Jonsereds has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Onsala
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
03 Oct
Boljan
0 : 1
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
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Onsala

(Away)
02 Oct
Hestrafors
0 : 1
Onsala
27 Sept
Onsala
1 : 2
Qviding
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Onsala
2 : 0
Galtabacks
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 24 17 3 4 42:19 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 47:26 46
3 Jonsereds 24 12 6 6 40:37 42
4 Hestrafors 24 12 5 7 48:39 41
5 Lindome 24 11 4 9 46:40 37
6 Frolunda 24 10 7 7 45:39 37
7 Boljan 24 9 7 8 36:32 34
8 Qviding 24 10 4 10 44:44 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 33:37 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 39:42 28
11 Kongahalla 24 7 6 11 35:45 27
12 Astorps 24 7 5 12 29:41 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 38:46 20
14 BK Astrio 24 2 4 18 22:57 10
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)