Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs Onsala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jonsereds host Onsala in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Jonsereds have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Onsala's 1.88 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Jonsereds slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.69 - 2.00) back Jonsereds to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jonsereds
30%
Draws
23%
Onsala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Onsala haven't matched Jonsereds's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jonsereds a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jonsereds here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%
Onsala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Onsala
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Jonsereds
2:3
Sep 5, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Onsala
1:0
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Jonsereds
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 38 / 100
Onsala 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Onsala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onsala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jonsereds's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jonsereds has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Onsala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
31 Jul
Lindome
2 : 3
Jonsereds
28 Jun
Jonsereds
1 : 0
Kongahalla
17 Jun
Landvetter
1 : 0
Jonsereds
13 Jun
Jonsereds
2 : 2
Qviding
05 Jun
Jonsereds
4 : 2
Galtabacks
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Onsala

(Away)
31 Jul
Kongahalla
0 : 0
Onsala
26 Jun
Onsala
2 : 4
Landvetter
18 Jun
Boljan
1 : 2
Onsala
14 Jun
Onsala
1 : 1
Torslanda
11 Jun
Frolunda
4 : 2
Onsala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 15 12 1 2 26:8 37
2 Jonsereds 15 8 3 4 26:25 27
3 Frolunda 15 7 5 3 33:21 26
4 Dalstorps 15 7 5 3 27:17 26
5 Hestrafors 15 8 2 5 31:26 26
6 Boljan 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
7 Lindome 15 6 4 5 28:25 22
8 Qviding 15 6 3 6 32:30 21
9 Torslanda 15 4 7 4 20:21 19
10 Onsala 15 4 6 5 21:24 18
11 Astorps 15 3 5 7 19:29 14
12 Kongahalla 15 2 6 7 14:27 12
13 Galtabacks 15 2 3 10 21:27 9
14 BK Astrio 15 1 3 11 11:31 6
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)