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Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Salihu A.
60' Event
Carestam L.
78' Event
Olsson S.

AI Match Summary

Jonsereds in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Jonsereds
15%
Draws
20%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Jonsereds have won more games recently than Savedalen.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Jonsereds taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Savedalen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Savedalen
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Jonsereds
2:0
Sep 5, 2014 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Jonsereds
1:1
May 23, 2014 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Savedalen
3:1
Aug 10, 2013 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Savedalen vs Jonsereds
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carestam L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Salihu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 83 / 100
Savedalen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Savedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonsereds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Savedalen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Jonsereds has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Savedalen
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
23 Aug
Galtabacks
1 : 1
Jonsereds
15 Aug
Jonsereds
2 : 1
Onsala
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Savedalen

(Away)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 26 16 7 3 44:27 55
2 BK Astrio 26 17 3 6 63:30 54
3 Qviding 26 16 4 6 68:43 52
4 Varbergs GIF 26 15 5 6 49:30 50
5 Landvetter 26 13 6 7 56:44 45
6 Frolunda 26 9 9 8 58:50 36
7 Tord 26 10 6 10 45:39 36
8 Laholms 26 9 4 13 46:52 31
9 Lindome 26 8 5 13 49:50 29
10 Bergdalens IK 26 8 4 14 53:70 28
11 Jonsereds 26 8 4 14 36:54 28
12 Savedalen 26 6 9 11 33:57 27
13 Ockero IF 26 5 6 15 36:57 21
14 Hittarp 26 3 6 17 21:54 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)