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Jonsereds vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jonsereds play Savedalen in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jonsereds averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Savedalen averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Jonsereds won 2, Savedalen won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 30, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Jonsereds and 0.81 for Savedalen. This points to a Jonsereds double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jonsereds
26%
Draws
27%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Jonsereds picked up more points recently compared to Savedalen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 26%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Savedalen
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.74 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Savedalen
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Jonsereds
2:0
Sep 5, 2014 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Jonsereds
1:1
May 23, 2014 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Savedalen
3:1
Aug 10, 2013 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Savedalen vs Jonsereds
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carestam L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Salihu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 48 / 100
Savedalen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Savedalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jonsereds or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jonsereds attacking → ← attacking Savedalen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Savedalen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Jonsereds went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Savedalen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 27
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna26167344:2755
2BK Astrio26173663:3054
3Qviding26164668:4352
4Varbergs GIF26155649:3050
5Landvetter26136756:4445
6Frolunda2699858:5036
7Tord261061045:3936
8Laholms26941346:5231
9Lindome26851349:5029
10Bergdalens IK26841453:7028
11Jonsereds26841436:5428
12Savedalen26691133:5727
13Ockero IF26561536:5721
14Hittarp26361721:5415