Sport Picks
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
Australia
WA State League 2025 Iluka Sports Complex, Joondalup 
Match Events
2'
2'
Mba J.
9'
9'
McCracken S.
81'
81'
Heagney D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this WA State League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Joondalup City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Joondalup City lately — more wins on the board than Gwelup Croatia SC.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Joondalup City taking it.
- Regular WA State League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Joondalup City have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 20%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Joondalup City | Gwelup Croatia SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
May 31, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Joondalup City Compare
Top Goalscorer McCracken S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stocks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Gwelup Croatia SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mba J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Heagney D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Joondalup City 40 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Joondalup City Gwelup Croatia SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JOO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Joondalup City found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Gwelup Croatia SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Joondalup City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Joondalup City VS Gwelup Croatia SC
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Joondalup City
(Home) 18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2 Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2 Mandurah City
04 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 1 Quinns
27 Jun
Subiaco
1 : 4 Joondalup City
20 Jun
Joondalup City
1 : 3 Floreat Athena
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2 Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2 Mandurah City
04 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 1 Quinns
20 Jun
Joondalup City
1 : 3 Floreat Athena
13 Jun
Joondalup City
2 : 1 Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
(Away) 18 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
11 Jul
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1 Inglewood Utd
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Gwelup Croatia SC
0 : 0 Curtin University
20 Jun
UWA Nedlands
2 : 0 Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
20 Jun
UWA Nedlands
2 : 0 Gwelup Croatia SC
13 Jun
Joondalup City
2 : 1 Gwelup Croatia SC
05 Jun
Floreat Athena
4 : 0 Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dianella White Eagle | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 46:22 | 48 |
| 2 | UWA Nedlands | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 52:28 | 47 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:26 | 39 |
| 4 | Kingsley Westside | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36:24 | 37 |
| 5 | Murdoch University Melville | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 50:46 | 32 |
| 6 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 43:39 | 32 |
| 7 | Mandurah City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:33 | 29 |
| 8 | Subiaco | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33:37 | 29 |
| 9 | Inglewood Utd | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 29:43 | 25 |
| 10 | Curtin University | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 31:46 | 21 |
| 11 | Kalamunda City | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 23:40 | 19 |
| 12 | Gosnells City | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 20:54 | 12 |
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2025 (Relegation)