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Jordan U23 vs Indonesia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ferdinan M.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Sulaeman W.
Assist: Ridho R.
44'
Al Maharmeh A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Indonesia U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Jordan U23
20%
Draws
11%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jordan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jordan U23 come out ahead of Indonesia U23 on wins alone.
  • 69% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Jordan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Jordan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Jordan U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jordan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulaeman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferdinan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan U23 41 / 100
Indonesia U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan U23 Indonesia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jordan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jordan U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Indonesia U23 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Jordan U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jordan U23 VS Indonesia U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Jordan U23

(Home)
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U20
1 : 2
Jordan U23
16 Jan
Japan U23
2 : 1
Jordan U23
12 Jan
Jordan U23
1 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Indonesia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Australia U23 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Jordan U23 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 China U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Thailand U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Malaysia U23 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)