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Jordan U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 King Abdullah Sports City
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jordan U23 play Kyrgyzstan U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23. Jordan U23 are favorites here. Recently, Jordan U23 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Kyrgyzstan U23 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Jordan U23 won 4, Kyrgyzstan U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 12, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Jordan U23 and 0.88 for Kyrgyzstan U23. This points to a Jordan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Jordan U23
15%
Draws
27%
Kyrgyzstan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jordan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Jordan U23 picked up more points recently compared to Kyrgyzstan U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Jordan U23 Clean Sheet 25%
Kyrgyzstan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan U23 Kyrgyzstan U23
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Jordan U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23
1:0
Mar 24, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Jordan U23
0:3
May 18, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Jordan U23
0:4
Sep 25, 2014 Asian Games
Jordan U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jordan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaizeh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kyrgyzstan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan U23 57 / 100
Kyrgyzstan U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan U23 Kyrgyzstan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jordan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jordan U23 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jordan U23 attacking → ← attacking Kyrgyzstan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jordan U23 scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Kyrgyzstan U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Jordan U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kyrgyzstan U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 32
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U2333005:19
2Jordan U2332014:46
3Saudi Arabia U2331023:43
4Kyrgyzstan U2330031:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U23330010:09
2United Arab Emirates U2331113:44
3Syria U2331112:64
4Qatar U2330030:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U2332105:27
2South Korea U2331114:44
3Lebanon U2331025:73
4Iran U2330210:12
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U2332014:36
2China U2331201:05
3Iraq U2330212:32
4Thailand U2330212:32