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Jordan vs United Arab Emirates - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FIFA Arab Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
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Match Events

18'
Ibrahim K.
20' Event
Olwan A.
(Penalty)
38'
Al Meqebaali H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jordan
30%
Draws
58%
United Arab Emirates
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: United Arab Emirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and United Arab Emirates come out ahead of Jordan on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on United Arab Emirates taking it.
  • United Arab Emirates arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jordan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Jordan Clean Sheet 13%
United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan United Arab Emirates
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Jordan vs United Arab Emirates
2:1
May 24, 2021 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates vs Jordan
5:1
Jun 3, 2016 Kings Cup (Thailand)
United Arab Emirates vs Jordan
1:3
Dec 30, 2014 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates vs Jordan
1:0
Oct 14, 2009 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates vs Jordan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jordan Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Naimat Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

United Arab Emirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Conceicao de Oliveira B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan 10 / 100
United Arab Emirates 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan United Arab Emirates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Jordan scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

United Arab Emirates has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Jordan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jordan VS United Arab Emirates
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jordan

(Home)
06 Oct
Jordan
0 : 0
Venezuela
27 Sept
Jordan
1 : 1
Syria
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 6

United Arab Emirates

(Away)
06 Oct
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
United Arab Emirates
03 Oct
United Arab Emirates
1 : 0
Oman
30 Sept
United Arab Emirates
1 : 1
Qatar
27 Sept
Bahrain
0 : 3
United Arab Emirates
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)