Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jorge Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2025 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Alvarez W.
Assist: Torres S.
13' Event
Salinas L.
Own Goal
20'
Caceres A.

AI Match Summary

Nacional Potosi in this Division Profesional 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional Potosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jorge Wilstermann
30%
Draws
47%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional Potosi lately — more wins on the board than Jorge Wilstermann.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Potosi taking it.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 18%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jorge Wilstermann Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi
2:5
Jul 4, 2025 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi
1:3
May 20, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Jorge Wilstermann
3:4
Apr 27, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Jorge Wilstermann
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palacio D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jorge Wilstermann 10 / 100
Nacional Potosi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jorge Wilstermann Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jorge Wilstermann scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nacional Potosi conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Jorge Wilstermann has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional Potosi
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jorge Wilstermann

(Home)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
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Nacional Potosi

(Away)
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 30 22 5 3 91:34 71
2 Bolivar 30 21 5 4 82:32 68
3 The Strongest 30 21 1 8 77:47 64
4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 13 7 10 62:54 46
5 Blooming 30 14 4 12 53:56 46
6 Independiente 30 13 6 11 56:57 45
7 Nacional Potosi 30 12 7 11 51:41 43
8 Guabira 30 13 4 13 58:63 43
9 GV San Jose 30 12 5 13 46:50 41
10 Aurora 30 11 4 15 53:63 37
11 Tomayapo 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
12 Oriente Petrolero 30 9 6 15 45:58 33
13 Real Oruro 30 8 7 15 60:66 31
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 6 8 16 32:60 26
15 Academia del Balompie 30 6 8 16 33:64 26
16 Jorge Wilstermann 30 4 7 19 30:71 19
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2025 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional 2025 (Relegation)