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Jorge Wilstermann vs The Strongest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena 2025 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Caceres A.
14' Event
Garcia J.
Assist: Quaglio F.
17'
Sub
Pardo E. In: Soto R.
Out: Pardo E.

AI Match Summary

The Strongest in this Copa Pacena 2025 tie, finishing 2-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jorge Wilstermann
30%
Draws
47%
The Strongest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: The Strongest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to The Strongest lately — more wins on the board than Jorge Wilstermann.
  • Model gives The Strongest a 47% chance of winning this.
  • The Strongest arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor The Strongest, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • The Strongest have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 18%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jorge Wilstermann The Strongest
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 5 20
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.14 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Jorge Wilstermann
6:0
Oct 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs The Strongest
2:5
Oct 12, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Jorge Wilstermann
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs The Strongest
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barron A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Godoy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jorge Wilstermann 10 / 100
The Strongest 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jorge Wilstermann The Strongest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Strongest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Jorge Wilstermann scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

The Strongest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Jorge Wilstermann went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS The Strongest
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jorge Wilstermann

(Home)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
Page 1 of 6

The Strongest

(Away)
08 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
The Strongest
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 14 8 2 4 34:21 26
2 Blooming 14 7 3 4 28:20 24
3 Nacional Potosi 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
4 Jorge Wilstermann 14 4 3 7 18:28 15
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oruro 14 7 7 0 22:10 28
2 Always Ready 14 8 2 4 36:19 26
3 The Strongest 14 4 4 6 27:24 16
4 Tomayapo 14 3 3 8 21:44 12
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 14 5 4 5 26:21 19
2 Aurora 14 5 3 6 24:29 18
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 14 5 2 7 23:24 17
4 Academia del Balompie 14 3 2 9 16:31 11
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 14 7 4 3 25:25 25
2 Oriente Petrolero 14 6 4 4 24:24 22
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 14 5 4 5 22:20 19
4 Independiente 14 5 0 9 19:26 15
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)