Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Josanica vs Buducnost Krusik

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Josanica play Buducnost Krusik in the Srpska Liga - West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Josanica averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Buducnost Krusik averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Josanica won 2, Buducnost Krusik won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Josanica and 1.44 for Buducnost Krusik. This points to a Buducnost Krusik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Josanica
35%
Draws
37%
Buducnost Krusik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buducnost Krusik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Josanica picked up more points recently compared to Buducnost Krusik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Josanica Clean Sheet 16%
Buducnost Krusik Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Josanica Buducnost Krusik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Josanica vs Buducnost Krusik
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Buducnost Krusik vs Josanica
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Josanica vs Buducnost Krusik
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Buducnost Krusik vs Josanica
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Buducnost Krusik vs Josanica
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Josanica 28 / 100
Buducnost Krusik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Josanica Buducnost Krusik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Buducnost Krusik or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Josanica attacking → ← attacking Buducnost Krusik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Josanica scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Buducnost Krusik let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Josanica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Buducnost Krusik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metalac30208252:1768
2Real Podunavci301310737:2949
3Radnicki Valjevo301351243:3844
4Zeleznicar Lajkovac301110942:3043
5Omladinac Zablace301012836:3042
6FK Zlatibor Cajetina301181129:3341
7Sloboda30914733:2441
8Buducnost Krusik3010101034:3340
9Jedinstvo Putevi301161335:3939
10FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac30912929:2839
11OFK Napredak30814836:3338
12Takovo309101123:2937
13Sloga Pozega30991229:3336
14Mladi Radnik Radinac30971431:5234
15Josanica306101430:4528
16Polimlje30591624:5024