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Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC Logo

Jose Bonifacio EC

2 - 4
FT
America SP Logo

America SP

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ricardinho
45' Event
Kaua Caveiro
49' Event
Aislan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jose Bonifacio EC
30%
Draws
39%
America SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jose Bonifacio EC come out ahead of America SP on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Jose Bonifacio EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor America SP, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 20%
America SP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jose Bonifacio EC America SP
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP
2:4
Jul 11, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:0
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:1
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP
1:1
Jun 8, 2019 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs America SP
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jose Bonifacio EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Caveiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

America SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Aislan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edipo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jose Bonifacio EC 32 / 100
America SP 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jose Bonifacio EC America SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jose Bonifacio EC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: America SP conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Jose Bonifacio EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jose Bonifacio EC VS America SP
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jose Bonifacio EC

(Home)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

America SP

(Away)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3