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Jose Bonifacio EC vs Assisense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kaua Caveiro
51'
Yuri M.
90'
Thierry

AI Match Summary

Jose Bonifacio EC in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jose Bonifacio EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jose Bonifacio EC
35%
Draws
25%
Assisense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jose Bonifacio EC lately — more wins on the board than Assisense.
  • Jose Bonifacio EC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 68%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jose Bonifacio EC Assisense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Assisense
1:0
May 8, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Jose Bonifacio EC
2:2
May 28, 2017 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:1
Apr 8, 2017 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Assisense
2:0
Jul 5, 2015 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Assisense
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jose Bonifacio EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaua Caveiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Assisense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jose Bonifacio EC 50 / 100
Assisense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jose Bonifacio EC Assisense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jose Bonifacio EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assisense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Jose Bonifacio EC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jose Bonifacio EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jose Bonifacio EC VS Assisense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jose Bonifacio EC

(Home)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

Assisense

(Away)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)