Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Montano V.
45'
45'
Kaua Caveiro
66'
66'
Joao Prata
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Jose Bonifacio EC and Tupa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jose Bonifacio EC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tupa haven't matched Jose Bonifacio EC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Jose Bonifacio EC a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Jose Bonifacio EC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 20%
Tupa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jose Bonifacio EC | Tupa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Tupa
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:4
Jun 16, 2019 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:2
May 1, 2019 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Tupa
2:1
Jul 16, 2011 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jose Bonifacio EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaua Caveiro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tupa Compare
Top Goalscorer Montano V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jose Bonifacio EC 85 / 100
Tupa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jose Bonifacio EC Tupa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jose Bonifacio EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jose Bonifacio EC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Tupa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Jose Bonifacio EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jose Bonifacio EC VS Tupa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jose Bonifacio EC
(Home) 19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1 Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
07 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 1 Riopretano
24 May
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 3
Tupa
(Away) 05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
24 May
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Tupa
15 May
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3 Tupa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
