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Stadium Background

JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Viitaniemi TN, Jyväskylä
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pyyny V.
47' Event
Puhakainen L.
65'
Sub
Korolainen J. In: Aro A.
Out: Korolainen J.

AI Match Summary

JPS Jyvaskyla in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored JPS Jyvaskyla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
JPS Jyvaskyla
15%
Draws
36%
HAPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JPS Jyvaskyla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to JPS Jyvaskyla lately — more wins on the board than HAPK.
  • JPS Jyvaskyla are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
JPS Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JPS Jyvaskyla HAPK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 4.13 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla
2:2
May 10, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JPS Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyny V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

HAPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Puhakainen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JPS Jyvaskyla 47 / 100
HAPK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JPS Jyvaskyla HAPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPS Jyvaskyla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: HAPK conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: JPS Jyvaskyla scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

HAPK's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

JPS Jyvaskyla VS HAPK
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
5.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

JPS Jyvaskyla

(Home)
28 Apr
JPS Jyvaskyla
3 : 5
Mikkelin
10 Apr
JIPPO II
0 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
28 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
1 : 9
Lahden Reipas
18 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
2 : 2
Vaajakoski
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HAPK

(Away)
14 Apr
HAPK
1 : 6
SJK
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
27 Sept
Vaajakoski
4 : 2
HAPK
21 Sept
Lahden Reipas
6 : 0
HAPK
13 Sept
HAPK
0 : 3
Vaajakoski
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