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JPS Jyvaskyla vs Vaajakoski

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Viitaniemi TN
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JPS Jyvaskyla play Vaajakoski in the Kakkonen Group A 2025. Vaajakoski are favorites here. Recently, JPS Jyvaskyla averaged 1.4 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. Vaajakoski averaged 2.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, JPS Jyvaskyla won 0, Vaajakoski won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 18, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for JPS Jyvaskyla and 3.00 for Vaajakoski. This points to a Vaajakoski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
JPS Jyvaskyla
15%
Draws
59%
Vaajakoski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • JPS Jyvaskyla picked up more points recently compared to Vaajakoski.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 3.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
JPS Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JPS Jyvaskyla Vaajakoski
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.4 2.17
Goals Conceded 4.13 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs Vaajakoski
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla
7:0
Aug 7, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs Vaajakoski
1:5
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JPS Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pyyny V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vaajakoski Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JPS Jyvaskyla 25 / 100
Vaajakoski 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JPS Jyvaskyla Vaajakoski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vaajakoski & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

JPS Jyvaskyla attacking → ← attacking Vaajakoski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JPS Jyvaskyla scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Vaajakoski let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

JPS Jyvaskyla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vaajakoski lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 39
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75