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Juan Aurich vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Vernal G.
29'
Reyes O.
45'
Safra J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Juan Aurich and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Juan Aurich
17%
Draws
70%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) come out ahead of Juan Aurich on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 20%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Juan Aurich
0:3
Jun 28, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Juan Aurich
4:0
Jun 19, 2022 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 16 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Juan Aurich scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Juan Aurich VS Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427