Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Aurich vs Carlos Stein Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024
Sat, May 11, 2024
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Aurich host Carlos Stein in the Liga 2 2024. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Juan Aurich at 0.42 goals for, 1.84 against; Carlos Stein at 1.16 for, 3.25 against. Past meetings favor Juan Aurich slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.17 - 2.19) back Juan Aurich to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Juan Aurich
15%
Draws
85%
Carlos Stein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Stein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carlos Stein come out ahead of Juan Aurich on wins alone.
  • Juan Aurich are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 10%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Carlos Stein
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 0.42 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.84 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich
3:0
May 11, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Carlos Stein
0:3
Aug 23, 2023 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich
1:1
May 30, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Carlos Stein
3:1
Sep 6, 2021 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 40 / 100
Carlos Stein 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Carlos Stein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Stein has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Carlos Stein lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Juan Aurich's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Juan Aurich VS Carlos Stein
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Aurich

(Home)
06 Jul
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
03 Jul
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
San Marcos
30 Jun
Pirata
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
15 Jun
Juan Pablo II
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
09 Jun
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 7

Carlos Stein

(Away)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Huanuco 12 9 2 1 30:7 29
2 San Marcos 12 7 2 3 25:14 23
3 Llacuabamba 12 6 3 3 30:10 21
4 Pirata 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
5 Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 ADA Jaen 12 4 3 5 16:24 15
7 Carlos Stein 12 0 0 12 10:49 0
8 Juan Aurich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Union Huaral 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 9 6 1 26:13 33
2 Santos FC 16 7 4 5 15:12 25
3 Ayacucho 16 7 3 6 15:14 24
4 Dep. Municipal 16 4 8 4 16:15 20
5 AD Cantolao 16 6 2 8 16:20 20
6 Deportivo Coopsol 16 5 4 7 21:27 19
7 U. San Martin 16 3 9 4 19:22 18
8 Moquegua 16 2 5 9 12:22 11
9 Binacional 16 7 1 8 20:15 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)