Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Aurich vs Los Caimanes

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019 Estadio Elías Aguirre, Chiclayo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Castro M.
22' Event
Carrillo A.
33' Event
Castillo W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2019 game between Juan Aurich and Los Caimanes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juan Aurich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Juan Aurich
20%
Draws
80%
Los Caimanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Caimanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juan Aurich come out ahead of Los Caimanes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Los Caimanes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 19%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Los Caimanes
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2019 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Los Caimanes
3:1
Jul 28, 2019 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Juan Aurich
1:2
Jul 7, 2019 Copa Bicentenario
Juan Aurich vs Los Caimanes
2:3
Aug 12, 2018 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Los Caimanes
1:1
Apr 29, 2018 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Juan Aurich
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Aurich Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrillo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Los Caimanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 10 / 100
Los Caimanes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Los Caimanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Caimanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Los Caimanes conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Juan Aurich scored in 42% of their last 36 games.

Los Caimanes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juan Aurich VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Aurich

(Home)
06 Jul
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
03 Jul
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
San Marcos
30 Jun
Pirata
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
15 Jun
Juan Pablo II
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
09 Jun
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
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Los Caimanes

(Away)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 22 14 2 6 56:26 44
2 Alianza Atl. 22 13 4 5 45:21 43
3 Juan Aurich 22 13 3 6 35:24 42
4 Atletico Grau 22 13 2 7 52:30 41
5 Santos FC 22 12 5 5 29:21 41
6 Deportivo Coopsol 22 12 3 7 39:27 39
7 Comerciantes Unidos 22 10 3 9 32:33 33
8 Union Huaral 22 8 7 7 30:29 31
9 Los Chankas 22 9 3 10 25:33 30
10 Sport Loreto 22 5 3 14 28:46 15
11 Los Caimanes 22 2 2 18 21:55 5
12 Sport Victoria 22 2 1 19 9:56 7
Promotion - Liga 1 2020 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)