Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal de la Juventud, Chongoyape
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Cueva C.
3'
Cueva C.
3'
Cueva C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Juan Pablo II and Universitario de Deportes finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Deportes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Juan Pablo II
39%
Draws
30%
Universitario de Deportes
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Juan Pablo II on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 20%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II Universitario de Deportes
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II
3:0
Sep 18, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II
0:0
May 18, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miguel Silveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 32 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II Universitario de Deportes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Juan Pablo II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Juan Pablo II VS Universitario de Deportes
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Pablo II

(Home)
17 Jul
FC Cajamarca
2 : 2
Juan Pablo II
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0
Juan Pablo II
20 Jun
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0
ADA Jaen
30 May
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Juan Pablo II
22 May
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Deportes

(Away)
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0
Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
31 May
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)