Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Pablo II vs AD Tarma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Posito J.
Assist: Ramirez E.
35' Event
Ramirez E.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Hidalgo A. In: Mazzo A.
Out: Hidalgo A.

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juan Pablo II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Juan Pablo II
15%
Draws
16%
AD Tarma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Juan Pablo II have won more games recently than AD Tarma.
  • Win probability leans Juan Pablo II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 68%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II AD Tarma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs AD Tarma
5:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Juan Pablo II
2:3
Sep 30, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs AD Tarma
1:1
May 11, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Juan Pablo II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Posito J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

AD Tarma Compare

Top Goalscorer Canela Torres J. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 95 / 100
AD Tarma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II AD Tarma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Solid form: Juan Pablo II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Juan Pablo II found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

AD Tarma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Juan Pablo II VS AD Tarma
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Pablo II

(Home)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

AD Tarma

(Away)
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)