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Juan Pablo II vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Enciso C.
25'
Chavez N.
29'
Almiron M.

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juan Pablo II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Juan Pablo II
15%
Draws
0%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Moquegua haven't matched Juan Pablo II's recent run of results.
  • Juan Pablo II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 20%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II Moquegua
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.45 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Moquegua
4:0
Apr 14, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Moquegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 85 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Juan Pablo II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Moquegua lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Juan Pablo II scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Juan Pablo II VS Moquegua
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Pablo II

(Home)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

Moquegua

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)