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Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Juarez U21 Logo

Juarez U21

3 - 0
FT
Toluca U21 Logo

Toluca U21

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Carmona J.
85' Event
Monroy D.
89'
Shrem D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Juarez U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Juarez U21
15%
Draws
61%
Toluca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Toluca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Toluca U21 taking it.
  • Toluca U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Juarez U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 Toluca U21
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 21
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.22 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
2:1
May 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
2:3
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Monroy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Toluca U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 19 / 100
Toluca U21 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 Toluca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez U21 scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Toluca U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Juarez U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS Toluca U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 2
Juarez U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
Page 1 of 7

Toluca U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America U21 2
UNAM Pumas U21 2
Monterrey U21 3
Pachuca U21 5
Guadalajara Chivas U21 2
Atlas U21 1
Juarez U21 3
Toluca U21 3
Semi-finals
Club America U21 4
Pachuca U21 4
Guadalajara Chivas U21 0
Juarez U21 0
Final
Club America U21 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21 4