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Juarez U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
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Match Events

78' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Juarez U21 and UNAM Pumas U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Juarez U21
15%
Draws
26%
UNAM Pumas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juarez U21 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Juarez U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 68%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 UNAM Pumas U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Juarez U21
3:2
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 59 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 UNAM Pumas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Juarez U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Juarez U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 2
Juarez U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
21 Aug
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
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UNAM Pumas U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Queretaro U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 8 7 0 1 16:9 18
2 Club Tijuana U21 7 5 0 2 13:8 17
3 Toluca U21 6 6 0 0 12:3 16
4 Puebla U21 7 5 0 2 10:5 15
5 Club America U21 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
6 Guadalajara Chivas U21 7 4 0 3 11:9 12
7 Cruz Azul U21 7 5 0 2 16:10 11
8 Necaxa U21 8 4 0 4 8:12 11
9 Atlas U21 7 3 0 4 10:7 10
10 Pachuca U21 8 2 0 6 8:12 10
11 Santos Laguna U21 7 3 0 4 6:10 10
12 Monterrey U21 6 3 0 3 11:7 9
13 Juarez U21 6 3 0 3 6:7 8
14 Atletico San Luis U21 8 3 0 5 12:16 8
15 Atlante U21 8 2 0 6 8:16 8
16 UNAM Pumas U21 7 2 0 5 6:9 7
17 Tigres UANL U21 8 2 0 6 7:16 7
18 Queretaro U21 7 1 0 6 6:12 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)