Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez vs Tigres UANL

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Joaquim
Assist: Brunetta J.
20' Event
Estupinan O.
Assist: Garcia D.
32'
Sanchez Guevara D. A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Juarez and Tigres UANL finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Juarez
15%
Draws
53%
Tigres UANL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres UANL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tigres UANL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Tigres UANL
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Tigres UANL
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Juarez
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Juarez
0:1
Sep 23, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Tigres UANL
0:1
Feb 29, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Juarez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monchu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tigres UANL Compare

Top Goalscorer Joaquim
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 10 / 100
Tigres UANL 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Tigres UANL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tigres UANL conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Juarez went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Tigres UANL
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
22 Aug
Juarez
1 : 2
Club America
16 Aug
Monterrey
6 : 1
Juarez
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
Juarez
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
Juarez
05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL

(Away)
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0
Atlante
16 Aug
Atlas
2 : 1
Tigres UANL
12 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
08 Aug
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNAM Pumas 17 10 6 1 34:17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 33:17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 31:18 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 25:19 31
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 28:16 30
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 16:18 26
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 28:18 25
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 20:17 25
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 19:17 23
10 Club Leon 17 7 1 9 22:32 22
11 Queretaro 17 4 8 5 17:21 20
12 Juarez 17 5 4 8 26:32 19
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 22:24 18
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 24:27 18
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 19:25 18
16 Mazatlan FC 17 4 3 10 22:37 15
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 13:26 13
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 20:38 12
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)