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Juazeirense vs Serrano

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2012
Juazeirense Logo

Juazeirense

2 - 2
FT
Serrano Logo

Serrano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Baiano 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Juazeirense
30%
Draws
31%
Serrano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juazeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Serrano haven't matched Juazeirense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Juazeirense a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 16%
Serrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeirense Serrano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2014 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Serrano
0:3
Feb 7, 2013 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Serrano
1:1
Mar 11, 2012 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Serrano
2:2
Feb 15, 2012 Baiano
Serrano vs Juazeirense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeirense 48 / 100
Serrano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeirense Serrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Juazeirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Serrano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Juazeirense VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeirense

(Home)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
Page 1 of 6

Serrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 Vitoria 22 12 7 3 53:17 43
3 Feirense 22 11 6 5 37:25 39
4 Bahia de Feira 22 10 2 10 34:30 32
5 Vitoria da Conquista 22 9 5 8 28:26 32
6 Alagoinhas 22 7 10 5 31:24 31
7 Juazeiro 22 6 7 9 25:44 25
8 Juazeirense 22 6 6 10 21:35 24
9 Serrano 22 4 11 7 22:30 23
10 Fluminense de Feira 22 5 8 9 21:36 23
11 Camacari 22 5 7 10 26:39 22
12 Itabuna 22 2 5 15 20:45 11
Promotion - Campeonato Baiano 2012 (Play Offs)