Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juazeiro vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Juazeiro Logo

Juazeiro

3 - 1
FT
Alagoinhas Logo

Alagoinhas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2016 game between Juazeiro and Alagoinhas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Juazeiro
35%
Draws
19%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juazeiro come out ahead of Alagoinhas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Juazeiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeiro Alagoinhas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.3 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro
0:0
Aug 13, 2016 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Alagoinhas
3:1
May 10, 2015 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro
1:1
Feb 17, 2013 Baiano
Juazeiro vs Alagoinhas
5:0
Apr 4, 2012 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeiro 85 / 100
Alagoinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeiro Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Juazeiro found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Alagoinhas conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Juazeiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alagoinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeiro

(Home)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
Page 1 of 6

Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teixeira de Freitas 10 7 0 3 20:11 21
2 Atlantico EC 10 5 3 2 16:10 18
3 EC Ypiranga 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
4 Alagoinhas 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
5 Catuense 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
6 Juazeiro 10 1 2 7 12:23 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2016 (Play Offs)