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Juazeiro vs Jacobinense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Juazeiro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Juazeiro
30%
Draws
12%
Jacobinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacobinense haven't matched Juazeiro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Juazeiro a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Juazeiro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Juazeiro, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeiro Jacobinense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Juazeiro
1:0
Jul 17, 2022 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Jacobinense
2:1
Jun 26, 2022 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Jacobinense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeiro 85 / 100
Jacobinense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeiro Jacobinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Juazeiro's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Juazeiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Jacobinense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juazeiro VS Jacobinense
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeiro

(Home)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
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Jacobinense

(Away)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Itabuna 2
Jequie 1
Juazeiro 2
Jacobinense 2
Final
Itabuna 4
Jacobinense 3