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Jubba vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jubba Logo

Jubba

2 - 7
FT
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jubba and Badbaado finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jubba
15%
Draws
85%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Badbaado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Badbaado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jubba Badbaado
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.93
Goals Conceded 4.36 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Badbaado
2:7
May 16, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jubba
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jubba 10 / 100
Badbaado 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jubba Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Badbaado conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Badbaado registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Jubba scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

Jubba VS Badbaado
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
4.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jubba

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)