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Jubba vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jubba Logo

Jubba

0 - 5
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jubba
15%
Draws
85%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Elman have won more games recently than Jubba.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Elman taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%
Elman Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jubba Elman
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 0 4
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.73
Goals Conceded 4.36 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Elman
0:5
Apr 19, 2026 National league
Elman vs Jubba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jubba 10 / 100
Elman 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jubba Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Elman has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Elman's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jubba scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

Jubba VS Elman
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
4.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jubba

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 5

Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)