Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jubba vs Gantaalaha Afgooye

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gantaalaha Afgooye in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gantaalaha Afgooye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jubba
15%
Draws
85%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gantaalaha Afgooye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gantaalaha Afgooye at 1.27 per game, Jubba at 0.77.
  • Win probability leans Gantaalaha Afgooye's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jubba Gantaalaha Afgooye
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 4.36 4.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
1:5
Jun 2, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Jubba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jubba 10 / 100
Gantaalaha Afgooye 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jubba Gantaalaha Afgooye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gantaalaha Afgooye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gantaalaha Afgooye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Gantaalaha Afgooye has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jubba scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

Jubba VS Gantaalaha Afgooye
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
4.88 Goals Conceded 4.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Jubba

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)