Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juk vs Nathalys

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Lebongi C.
71' Event
Milandou V.
90' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2023/2024 game between Juk and Nathalys finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Juk
30%
Draws
39%
Nathalys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nathalys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nathalys come out ahead of Juk on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Juk Clean Sheet 20%
Nathalys Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juk Nathalys
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 3 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Juk vs Nathalys
2:1
Jan 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs Juk
0:0
Mar 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Juk vs Nathalys
1:0
Jan 10, 2023 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs Juk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lebongi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milandou V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Nathalys Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juk 36 / 100
Nathalys 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juk Nathalys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nathalys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nathalys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Juk scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Juk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juk VS Nathalys
0 Goals Scored 0.67
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juk

(Home)
21 Mar
Juk
0 : 2
JS Talangai
14 Mar
Juk
0 : 0
Patronage Sainte-Anne
09 Mar
Juk
0 : 4
Otoho d'Oyo
02 Mar
AS Penarol
3 : 1
Juk
26 Feb
Juk
1 : 0
Congo U17
Page 1 of 4

Nathalys

(Away)
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
16 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 1
Nico-Nicoye
08 Mar
Inter PN
1 : 0
Nathalys
02 Mar
Nathalys
5 : 0
CD Jeunes
22 Feb
ACJM
0 : 0
Nathalys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leopard 26 15 7 4 33:14 52
2 Otoho d'Oyo 26 14 7 5 36:16 49
3 Inter Club 26 14 7 5 31:17 49
4 JS Talangai 26 12 5 9 24:25 41
5 Etoile du Congo 26 10 9 7 23:17 39
6 Diables Noirs 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
7 CARA Brazzaville 26 9 9 8 21:18 36
8 Cheminots 26 8 9 9 22:23 33
9 V.Club Mokanda 26 10 3 13 24:26 33
10 Kondzo 26 8 7 11 24:26 31
11 Juk 26 6 10 10 27:37 28
12 AS BNG 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Vegas 26 5 7 14 18:37 22
14 Nathalys 26 3 8 15 10:35 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)