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Julho Esporte vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Julho Esporte Logo

Julho Esporte

0 - 1
FT
River-PI Logo

River-PI

Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Lucas Mingoti
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

River-PI in this Piauiense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Julho Esporte
30%
Draws
41%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • River-PI have won more games recently than Julho Esporte.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 23%
River-PI Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Julho Esporte River-PI
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
3:1
Feb 17, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs River-PI
0:1
Feb 15, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs River-PI
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Julho Esporte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Mingoti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Julho Esporte 33 / 100
River-PI 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Julho Esporte River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River-PI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River-PI has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Julho Esporte scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Julho Esporte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Julho Esporte VS River-PI
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Julho Esporte

(Home)
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
Page 1 of 6

River-PI

(Away)
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 AE Altos 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Julho Esporte 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Picos 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeirense 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Parnahyba 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 Fluminense-PI 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
4 Corisabba 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)