Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010

Cartagena La Union

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jumilla CD play Cartagena La Union in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010. Cartagena La Union are favorites here. Recently, Jumilla CD averaged 0.87 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. Cartagena La Union averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Jumilla CD won 0, Cartagena La Union won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2010 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Jumilla CD and 1.74 for Cartagena La Union. This points to a Cartagena La Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Jumilla CD

16%

Draws

75%

Cartagena La Union

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Jumilla CD picked up more points recently compared to Cartagena La Union.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Jumilla CD Clean Sheet 12%

Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jumilla CD	Cartagena La Union
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	2	22
Draws	5	5
Losses	23	4
Goals Scored	0.87	2.06
Goals Conceded	3.07	0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Jumilla CD vs Cartagena La Union

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Cartagena La Union vs Jumilla CD

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jumilla CD 11 / 100

Cartagena La Union 70 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jumilla CD Cartagena La Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (2)

Secondary Pick Cartagena La Union & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +800%

100.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jumilla CD attacking → ← attacking Cartagena La Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jumilla CD scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cartagena La Union let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jumilla CD went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cartagena La Union lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 71

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	27	5	6	84:26	86
2	Yeclano	38	26	6	6	93:38	84
3	Lorca Deportiva	38	26	6	6	95:36	84
4	UCAM Murcia	38	26	5	7	82:38	83
5	Cartagena La Union	38	25	6	7	84:40	81
6	Pinatar	38	24	8	6	68:28	80
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	24	8	6	81:33	80
8	CA Pulpileno	38	15	7	16	61:56	52
9	Plus Ultra	38	14	10	14	59:56	52
10	Santomera	38	12	13	13	52:45	49
11	FC Puente Tocinos	38	14	6	18	48:57	48
12	Club Edeco Fortuna	38	13	8	17	50:73	47
13	Cartagena FC UCAM	38	11	10	17	59:55	43
14	Beniel	38	12	6	20	54:71	42
15	Calasparra FC	38	9	9	20	44:70	36
16	Base Abaran	38	8	7	23	26:81	31
17	Bala Azul	38	7	9	22	47:76	30
18	Mazarron CF	38	7	7	24	40:69	28
19	CD Lumbreras	38	5	3	30	28:127	18
20	Jumilla CD	38	3	5	30	31:111	14